Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
Dec 6, 2025 at 4am UK
 
Wellington Phoenix

3-1

Brook (7'), De Vries (72'), May (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rufer (55')
James (46')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Auckland FC
Friday, December 12 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Western Sydney vs. Auckland FC
Friday, December 19 at 9am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, December 14 at 2am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Wellington vs. Central Coast
Sunday, December 21 at 2am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.53% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 19.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%) , while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Auckland FCDrawWellington Phoenix
58.7%21.53%19.76%
Both teams to score 56.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.38%41.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.98%64.02%
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12%13.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.72%41.27%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22%34.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49%71.51%
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 58.7%
    Wellington Phoenix 19.76%
    Draw 21.52%
Auckland FCDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 9.41%
3-1 @ 6.55%
3-0 @ 6.2%
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 3.23%
4-0 @ 3.06%
4-2 @ 1.71%
5-1 @ 1.28%
5-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 58.7%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 5.25%
0-0 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.32%
0-1 @ 5.1%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.76%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2025 4am
gameweek 20
Auckland FC
6-1
Wellington
Moreno (31', 36', 60', 31', 36', 60'), Rogerson (40', 80', 40', 80'), Randall (90+3', 90+3')
Pijnaker (2'), Pijnaker (2'), Howieson (84'), Howieson (84')
Brooke-Smith (49', 49')
Piper (59'), Piper (59'), Hughes (88'), Hughes (88')
Dec 7, 2024 4am
gameweek 7
Auckland FC
2-1
Wellington
Hughes (31' og., 31' og.), Pijnaker (70', 70')
Howieson (53'), Howieson (53')
Barbarouses (82', 82')
Ishige (17'), Ishige (17'), Sutton (43'), Sutton (43'), Retre (50'), Retre (50'), Barbarouses (67'), Barbarouses (67'), Rufer (78'), Rufer (78'), Italiano (88'), Italiano (88')
Nov 2, 2024 4am
gameweek 3
Wellington
0-2
Auckland FC
Brimmer (89', 90+6', 89', 90+6')
Verstraete (57'), Verstraete (57'), Moreno (82'), Moreno (82')