Australian A-League

Dec 14, 2025 at 2am UK

Wellington Wellington Phoenix
1-3
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets

Kelvin (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Adams (50'), Rose (54'), Taylor (57')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, December 14 at 2am in Australian A-League

Next Game: Wellington vs. Central Coast
Sunday, December 21 at 2am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, December 14 at 2am in Australian A-League

Next Game: Newcastle Jets vs. Sydney FC
Saturday, December 20 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Newcastle Jets
37.07%	24.04%	38.9%

Both teams to score 61.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.94%

41.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.55%

63.45%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.85%

22.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.46%

55.54%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76%

21.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86%

54.15%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 37.07%

Newcastle Jets 38.9%

Draw 24.03%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.28% 1-0 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.07%	1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 8.51% 0-1 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 4.4% 2-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.71% Total : 38.9%