Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HSV Hoek win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a HSV Hoek win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.