Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 69.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.32% and a win for Hoogeveen had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%) , while for a Hoogeveen win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.