Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.