Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 28.84% ( | 21.69% ( | 49.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.42% ( | 32.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.76% ( | 54.24% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( | 22.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( | 56.32% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.32% ( | 13.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.11% ( | 40.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 1-0 @ 4.6% ( 2-0 @ 3.42% ( 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 3-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.84% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-3 @ 2.22% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 1-3 @ 6.04% ( 2-3 @ 4.48% ( 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 1-4 @ 3% ( 2-4 @ 2.23% ( 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 1-5 @ 1.2% ( 3-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.91% Total : 49.46% |