Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.