Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 24.57% | 21.89% | 53.54% |
| Both teams to score 61.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.7% | 37.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.49% | 59.51% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% | 28.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.25% | 63.75% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% | 14.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.24% 1-0 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 3.18% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.56% Total : 24.57% | 1-1 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.89% | 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-1 @ 7.74% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 6.32% 0-3 @ 4.97% 2-3 @ 4.01% 1-4 @ 3.1% 0-4 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 1.97% 1-5 @ 1.22% 0-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.56% Total : 53.54% |