International Friendlies
Dec 16, 2025 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mahmoud Saber 28' goal
  • Mostafa Mohamed 53' goal
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 8'
  • yellowcard Paul Onuachu 15'
  • goal Chidozie Awaziem 45'+3'

Egypt vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Nov 17, 2025 4.00pm
Egypt 1 - 1 Cape Verde

Nigeria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 6, 2025 6.00pm
Russia 1 - 1 Nigeria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 45.43%. A draw had a probability of 28.32% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 26.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%) , while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Egypt 45.43%
Draw 28.32%
Nigeria 26.25%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 38.11%
Under 2.5 61.88%
Over 3.5 18.35%
Under 3.5 81.65%
Over 4.5 7.4%
Under 4.5 92.59%

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 72.73%
Under 0.5 27.27%
Over 1.5 37.3%
Under 1.5 62.7%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 59.94%
Under 0.5 40.06%
Over 1.5 23.3%
Under 1.5 76.7%

Score analysis

Egypt 45.43%
Draw 28.31%
Nigeria 26.25%
Egypt
1-0 @ 14.19%
2-0 @ 9.22%
2-1 @ 8.44%
3-0 @ 4%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 45.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.31%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 9.99%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 26.25%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 11, 2022 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 30' goal
International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2019 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stephen Keshi Stadium (Asaba)
  • Paul Onuachu 1' goal
  • Leon Balogun 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tarek Hamed 32'
  • yellowcard Eldin 50'