Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 45.43%. A draw had a probability of 28.32% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%) , while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.