Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.