World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK

Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium

Nigeria
1 - 1
Zimbabwe

Osimhen (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chirewa (90')
Arubi (70'), Munetsi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Nigeria and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 0-2 Nigeria
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Zimbabwe

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Zimbabwe 2-2 Benin
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.97%) and 3-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.13%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Zimbabwe
65.39% ( -0.44)	22.78% ( 0.32)	11.83% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 35.67% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.11% (

-0.8)

59.89% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.85% (

-0.61)

80.16% (

0.62)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.08% (

-0.44)

17.92% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.27% (

-0.77)

48.74% (

0.78)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.46% (

-0.27)

56.55% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.22% (

-0.15)

88.79% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Nigeria 65.39%

Zimbabwe 11.83%

Draw 22.78%

Nigeria	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 17.42% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 14.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 65.39%	0-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.3) 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.78%	0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.57% Total : 11.83%