World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 25, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium
  • Victor Osimhen 74' goal
  • yellowcard Washington Arubi 70'
  • yellowcard Marshall Munetsi 73'
  • goal Tawanda Chirewa 90'

Nigeria vs Zimbabwe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Mar 21, 2025 4.00pm
Rwanda 0 - 2 Nigeria

Zimbabwe

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 4.00pm
Zimbabwe 2 - 2 Benin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.97%) and 3-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.13%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Nigeria 65.39% (-0.44)
Draw 22.78% (+0.33)
Zimbabwe 11.83% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.67% (-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.11% (-0.80)
Under 2.5 59.89% (+0.81)
Over 3.5 19.85% (-0.62)
Under 3.5 80.16% (+0.62)
Over 4.5 8.25% (-0.36)
Under 4.5 91.75% (+0.36)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 82.08% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 17.92% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 51.27% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 48.74% (+0.79)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5 43.46% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 56.55% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 11.22% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 88.79% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Nigeria 65.39%
Draw 22.78%
Zimbabwe 11.83%
Nigeria
1-0 @ 17.42% (+0.28)
2-0 @ 14.97% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.58% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 3.69% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 65.39%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.13% (+0.30)
1-1 @ 9.93% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 2.43% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.78%
Zimbabwe
0-1 @ 5.78% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.65% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 11.83%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 19, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Huye
  • Walter Musona 26' goal
  • Prince Dube 46' yellowcard
  • Marvelous Nakamba 56' yellowcard
  • Prince Dube 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calvin Bassey 45'
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 67'
  • yellowcard Jamilu Collins 87'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 90'
International Friendlies
Jun 8, 2019 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oghenekaro Etebo 73' yellowcard
African Nations Championship
Feb 1, 2014 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cape Town Stadium, Cape Town
  • Masimba Mambare 16' redcard
  • Simba Sithole 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aliyu Ibrahim 7'
  • goal Christian Obiozor 85'
  • yellowcard Christian Obiozor 86'