Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.97%) and 3-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.13%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.