MX23RW : Monday, April 21 20:17:00| >> :600:368533:368533:
Nigeria national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium
Zimbabwe national football team

Nigeria
1 - 1
Zimbabwe

Osimhen (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chirewa (90')
Arubi (70'), Munetsi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Nigeria and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 0-2 Nigeria
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Zimbabwe 2-2 Benin
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Nigeria 2-0 Zimbabwe

Riding a wave of renewed momentum under Chelle, Nigeria will look to build on their resurgence, with the firepower of Osimhen and Lookman spearheading their charge. The Super Eagles's superior record in World Cup qualifiers against Zimbabwe further tilts the odds in their favour, making them strong favourites to claim victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.97%) and 3-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.13%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
NigeriaDrawZimbabwe
65.39% (-0.43799999999999 -0.44) 22.78% (0.322 0.32) 11.83% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 35.67% (-0.416 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.11% (-0.797 -0.8)59.89% (0.802 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.85% (-0.613 -0.61)80.16% (0.619 0.62)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.08% (-0.444 -0.44)17.92% (0.451 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.27% (-0.775 -0.77)48.74% (0.781 0.78)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.46% (-0.268 -0.27)56.55% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.22% (-0.154 -0.15)88.79% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 65.39%
    Zimbabwe 11.83%
    Draw 22.78%
NigeriaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 17.42% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 14.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.58% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.69% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 65.39%
0-0 @ 10.13% (0.297 0.3)
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.43% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 2.83% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.65% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 11.83%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Zimbabwe

Nigeria
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Zimbabwe
8.3%
36
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Zimbabwe
1-1
Nigeria
Musona (26')
Dube (46'), Nakamba (56'), Dube (70')
Iheanacho (67')
Bassey (45'), Collins (87'), Sadiq (90')
Jun 8, 2019 5pm
International Friendlies
Nigeria
0-0
Zimbabwe
Etebo (73')
Feb 1, 2014 3pm
Third-Place Playoff
Zimbabwe
0-1
Nigeria
rhs 2.0
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