World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2023 at 4pm UK

Teslim Balogun Stadium

Nigeria
1 - 1
Lesotho

Ajayi (67')
Ajayi (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mkwanazi (56')
Bereng (14'), Mkwanazi (72'), Mohai (80'), (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Nigeria and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Last Game: Mozambique 2-3 Nigeria
Monday, October 16 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

Lesotho

Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Lesotho
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 77.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 6.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.94%) and 3-0 (11.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Lesotho
77.12% ( -0.02)	15.9% ( 0.02)	6.98% ( -0)

Both teams to score 36.46% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.76% (

-0.11)

47.24% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.53% (

-0.1)

69.46% (

0.1)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.62% (

-0.04)

10.38% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.11% (

-0.08)

33.89% (

0.07)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.68% (

-0.08)

59.31% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.7% (

-0.04)

90.29% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Nigeria 77.1%

Lesotho 6.98%

Draw 15.9%

Nigeria	Draw	Lesotho
2-0 @ 15.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 77.1%	1-1 @ 7.28% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.9%	0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 6.98%