World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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-
Semi Ajayi
54'
-
Semi Ajayi
67'
-
Tshwarelo Bereng
14'
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Motlomelo Mkwanazi
56'
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Motlomelo Mkwanazi
72'
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Motete Mohai
80'
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83'
Nigeria vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 77.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 6.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.94%) and 3-0 (11.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result
Nigeria
77.12%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
15.9%
▲
(+0.03)
Lesotho
6.98%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
36.46%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.76%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
47.24%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
30.53%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
69.46%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
15.04%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
84.96%
▲
(+0.07)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
89.62%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
10.38%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
66.11%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
33.89%
▲
(+0.08)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5
40.68%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
59.31%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
9.7%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
90.29%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Nigeria
77.1%
Draw
15.9%
Lesotho
6.98%
Nigeria
2-0
@
15.79%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 13.94% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 11.92%
2-1 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 77.1%
1-0 @ 13.94% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 11.92%
2-1 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 77.1%
Draw
1-1
@
7.28%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.9%
0-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.9%
Lesotho
0-1
@
3.22%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 6.98%
1-2 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 6.98%