Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 4pm UK

Nigeria
0 - 1
Guinea-Bissau

FT(HT: 0-1)

Balde (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Nigeria and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Nigeria
Thursday, November 17 at 6.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Gambia
Sunday, November 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 77.39%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 5.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.94%) and 3-0 (12.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.02%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
77.39% ( -0.2)	16.64% ( -0.01)	5.97% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 29.61% (

1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.21% (

0.76)

53.79% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.74% (

0.64)

75.26% (

-0.63)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91% (

0.16)

12.1% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.36% (

0.34)

37.64% (

-0.34)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.68% (

1.1)

66.32% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.44% (

0.44)

93.56% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Nigeria 77.38%

Guinea-Bissau 5.97%

Draw 16.64%

Nigeria	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
2-0 @ 17.89% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 16.94% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 77.38%	0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.24) 1-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.64%	0-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.25% Total : 5.97%