Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Mama Balde
29'
Nigeria vs Guinea-Bissau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 77.39%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 5.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.94%) and 3-0 (12.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.02%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result
Nigeria
77.39%
▼
(-0.21)
Draw
16.64%
▼
(-0.02)
Guinea-Bissau
5.97%
▲
(+0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
29.61%
▲
(+1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.21%
▲
(+0.77)
Under 2.5
53.79%
▼
(-0.76)
Over 3.5
24.74%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 3.5
75.26%
▼
(-0.64)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
87.91%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
12.1%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
62.36%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 1.5
37.64%
▼
(-0.34)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5
33.68%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 0.5
66.32%
▼
(-1.11)
Over 1.5
6.44%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 1.5
93.56%
▼
(-0.44)
Score analysis
Nigeria
77.38%
Draw
16.64%
Guinea-Bissau
5.97%
Nigeria
2-0
@
17.89%
▼
(-0.31)
1-0 @ 16.94% ▼ (-0.40)
3-0 @ 12.6% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.18)
4-0 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.16)
5-0 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-97.94)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 77.38%
1-0 @ 16.94% ▼ (-0.40)
3-0 @ 12.6% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.18)
4-0 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.16)
5-0 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-97.94)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 77.38%
Draw
0-0
@
8.02%
▼
(-0.25)
1-1 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.64%
1-1 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.64%
Guinea-Bissau
0-1
@
3.29%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 5.97%
1-2 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 5.97%
Head to Head
Africa Cup of Nations
-
Umar Sadiq
56'
-
William Troost-Ekong
75'