Sierra Leone vs Guinea-Bissau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.