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Africa Cup of Nations

Sierra Leone national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 13, 2022 at 5pm UK
National Stadium
Guinea-Bissau national football team

Sierra Leone
2 - 2
Guinea-Bissau

Kargbo (77'), Kamara (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jorginho (47', 52')
Gomes (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sierra Leone and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

Last Six:
Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Guinea-Bissau

Last Six:
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 5-1 Sao Tome
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Sierra LeoneDrawGuinea-Bissau
44.05% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)25.54% (0.010000000000002 0.01)30.41% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.4% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)49.6% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)71.63% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)22.46% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (-0.052 -0.05)56% (0.052 0.05)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)30.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sierra Leone 44.05%
    Guinea-Bissau 30.41%
    Draw 25.54%
Sierra LeoneDrawGuinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.41%

How you voted: Sierra Leone vs Guinea-Bissau

Sierra Leone
32.4%
Draw
35.1%
Guinea-Bissau
32.4%
37