Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 19, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio 24 de Setembro

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 2
Nigeria

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sadiq (56'), Troost-Ekong (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.36%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Nigeria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result
Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Nigeria
16.61%	24.02%	59.37%

Both teams to score 42.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.69%

56.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.66%

77.34%

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.92%

47.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.45%

82.55%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.22%

18.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.81%

50.19%

Score Analysis

Guinea-Bissau 16.61%

Nigeria 59.35%

Draw 24.01%

Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 6.66% 2-1 @ 4.2% 2-0 @ 2.51% 3-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.19% Total : 16.61%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 3.51% Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 14.78% 0-2 @ 12.36% 1-2 @ 9.31% 0-3 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 5.19% 0-4 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.84% Total : 59.35%

How you voted: Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria

Guinea-Bissau

17.1%

Draw

12.9%

Nigeria

70.0%