Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 19, 2022 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Umar Sadiq 56'
  • goal William Troost-Ekong 75'

Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 15, 2022 7.00pm
Guinea-Bissau 0 - 1 Egypt

Nigeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 15, 2022 4.00pm
Nigeria 3 - 1 Sudan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.36%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Nigeria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result

Guinea-Bissau 16.61%
Draw 24.02%
Nigeria 59.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.98%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.69%
Under 2.5 56.31%
Over 3.5 22.66%
Under 3.5 77.34%

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5 52.92%
Under 0.5 47.09%
Over 1.5 17.45%
Under 1.5 82.55%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 81.22%
Under 0.5 18.78%
Over 1.5 49.81%
Under 1.5 50.19%

Score analysis

Guinea-Bissau 16.61%
Draw 24.01%
Nigeria 59.35%
Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 6.66%
2-1 @ 4.2%
2-0 @ 2.51%
3-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 16.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 8.84%
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 24.01%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 14.78%
0-2 @ 12.36%
1-2 @ 9.31%
0-3 @ 6.89%
1-3 @ 5.19%
0-4 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 59.35%