Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 11, 2022 at 4pm UK

Nigeria
1 - 0
Egypt

Iheanacho (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Egypt had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Egypt win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Egypt
40.87%	25.14%	33.99%

Both teams to score 56.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.33%

46.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.06%

68.94%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.28%

22.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.61%

56.39%

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55%

26.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.37%

61.64%

Score Analysis

Nigeria 40.87%

Egypt 33.99%

Draw 25.13%

Nigeria	Draw	Egypt
1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.87%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.22% Total : 33.99%