Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 11, 2022 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 30' goal

Nigeria vs Egypt - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Egypt

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Egypt had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Egypt win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result

Nigeria 40.87%
Draw 25.14%
Egypt 33.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.84%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.33%
Under 2.5 46.67%
Over 3.5 31.06%
Under 3.5 68.94%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 77.28%
Under 0.5 22.72%
Over 1.5 43.61%
Under 1.5 56.39%

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 73.55%
Under 0.5 26.46%
Over 1.5 38.37%
Under 1.5 61.64%

Score analysis

Nigeria 40.87%
Draw 25.13%
Egypt 33.99%
Nigeria
1-0 @ 8.91%
2-1 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.13%
Egypt
0-1 @ 7.99%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 33.99%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2019 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stephen Keshi Stadium (Asaba)
  • Paul Onuachu 1' goal
  • Leon Balogun 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tarek Hamed 32'
  • yellowcard Eldin 50'