World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Nov 16, 2021 at 4pm UK

Nigeria
1 - 1
Cape Verde

Osimhen (1')
Ndidi (16'), Balogun (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stopira (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Nigeria and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Cape Verde
47.22%	24.06%	28.72%

Both teams to score 58.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.01%

43.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.63%

66.37%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.22%

18.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.82%

50.18%

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46%

28.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67%

64.32%

Score Analysis

Nigeria 47.22%

Cape Verde 28.72%

Draw 24.05%

Nigeria	Draw	Cape Verde
2-1 @ 9.4% 1-0 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.34% Total : 47.22%	1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.05%	1-2 @ 7.05% 0-1 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.72%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Cape Verde

Nigeria

77.8%

Draw

15.6%

Cape Verde

6.7%