World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Oct 11, 2021 at 8pm UK

Libya
0 - 3
Egypt

Sabbou (67'), Al Badri (82')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Aboel Fettoh (40'), Mohamed (45+4'), Sobhi (72')
Tawfik (52'), Hamdi (74'), Aboel Fettoh (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Libya and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Libya had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Libya win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
Libya	Draw	Egypt
32.45%	23.75%	43.8%

Both teams to score 61.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.33%

40.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.94%

63.05%

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.5%

24.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.04%

58.96%

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.14%

18.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.67%

50.32%

Score Analysis

Libya 32.45%

Egypt 43.8%

Draw 23.75%

Libya	Draw	Egypt
2-1 @ 7.62% 1-0 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.45%	1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 9.04% 0-1 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 5.03% 0-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.42% Total : 43.8%

How you voted: Libya vs Egypt

Libya

13.1%

Draw

4.9%

Egypt

82.0%