World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Sep 3, 2021 at 5pm UK

Nigeria
2 - 0
Liberia

Iheanacho (22', 44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Njie (43'), Soumaoro (60'), (65'), Dweh (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Nigeria and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Liberia
57.19%	24.01%	18.79%

Both teams to score 46.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.68%

53.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13%

74.87%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52%

18.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.32%

49.67%

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.37%

42.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.02%

78.97%

Score Analysis

Nigeria 57.17%

Liberia 18.79%

Draw 24.01%

Nigeria	Draw	Liberia
1-0 @ 13.29% 2-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 5.39% 4-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 0.97% 5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.17%	1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 6.71% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.85% Total : 18.79%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Liberia

Nigeria

90.8%

Draw

6.2%

Liberia

3.1%