Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.