Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 1-0 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.