National League South Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Josh Rees 24' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 34' goal
  • goal Teddy Jenks 50'

AFC Hornchurch vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Dover Athletic 4 - 1 Hornchurch
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Worthing 3 - 1 Torquay Utd
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Brad Dolaghan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

AFC Hornchurch 31.42%
Draw 24.49% (+0.01)
Worthing 44.09% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.98%
Under 1.5 22.02%
Over 2.5 55.63% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 44.37% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.55% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 66.46% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 19.52% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 80.48% (-0.09)

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 26.18%
Draw 39.82%
Worthing 34%

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 40.57%
No Goal 5.86%
Worthing 53.57%

Corners

Over 8 59.65%
Equal 8 10.99%
Under 8 29.36%
Over 9 48.29%
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 40.35%
Over 10.5 37.49%
Under 10.5 62.51%

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 34.69% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.31% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.73% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.27% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.49% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.51% (-0.04)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 75.68% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 24.32% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.49% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 54.51% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 21.31% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 78.69% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 8% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92% (-0.04)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 31.42%
Draw 24.5%
Worthing 44.09%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 7.49% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.34% (+0.04)
Total : 31.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 5.91% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 24.5%
Worthing
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 8.68% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.91% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.7% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.85% (+0.02)
Total : 44.09%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Brad Dolaghan 30' goal
  • Razzaq Coleman De-Graft 55' goal
  • Toby Byron 70' goal
  • Brad Dolaghan 81' goal
  • Nathan Odokonyero 90'+1' goal
  • redcard <TBD> 54'
  • redcard Makai Welch 54'
National League South Gameweek 26
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Angelo Balanta 44' goal
National League South Gameweek 8
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Sam Beard 51' yellowcard
  • Ollie Black 65' yellowcard
  • Jack Bates 90'+2' yellowcard