National League South Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Decarrey Sheriff 10' goal
  • Harrison Sodje 32' goal
  • George Nikaj 55' yellowcard
  • Rúben Soares Júnior 86' goal
  • goal Junior Morias 21'

Dover Athletic vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Dover Athletic 1 - 1 Weston
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
George Nikaj

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
AFC Totton 1 - 0 Hornchurch
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%).

Result

Dover Athletic 30.37% (-0.25)
Draw 24.54% (-0.07)
AFC Hornchurch 45.08% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.15% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 21.85% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 55.84% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 44.16% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 33.61% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 66.39% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 19.24% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 80.76% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Dover Athletic 24.12% (+0.39)
Draw 39.73% (-0.27)
AFC Hornchurch 36.15% (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Dover Athletic 39.99% (+0.38)
No Goal 5.81% (+0.01)
AFC Hornchurch 54.2% (-0.38)

Corners

Over 8 66.42% (+0.44)
Equal 8 10.1% (-0.04)
Under 8 23.48% (-0.40)
Over 9 55.4% (+0.43)
Equal 9 11.02% (+0.01)
Under 9 33.58% (-0.43)
Over 10.5 44.36% (+0.39)
Under 10.5 55.64% (-0.39)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 34.08% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 65.92% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 13.67% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 86.33% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 4.37% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.63% (+0.02)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 76.79% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 23.21% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 46.39% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 53.61% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 21.43% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 78.57% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 7.73% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 92.27% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Dover Athletic 30.38%
Draw 24.54%
AFC Hornchurch 45.09%
Dover Athletic
1-0 @ 7.13% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.08% (-0.05)
Total : 30.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.44% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.03)
Total : 24.54%
AFC Hornchurch
1-2 @ 9.72% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 8.92% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.27% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.69% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 3.3%
Other @ 7.44% (+0.05)
Total : 45.09%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT