Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Totton win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Totton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.