National League South Gameweek 26
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Meadowbank Stadium

Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Hampton 0 - 0 Dorking
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Patrick Casey

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch 0 - 0 Eastbourne
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Dorking Wanderers 47.6% (-1.36)
Draw 24.26% (+0.25)
AFC Hornchurch 28.2% (+1.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.5% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.69% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 20.31% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 58.49% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 41.51% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 35.79% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 64.21% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 20.58% (-0.81)
Under 4.5 79.42% (+0.80)

First Half Winner

Dorking Wanderers 37.47%
Draw 37.54%
AFC Hornchurch 24.98%

Team To Score First

Dorking Wanderers 55.5% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.62% (-0.02)
AFC Hornchurch 38.88% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 65.1% (+1.70)
Equal 8 10.41% (-0.09)
Under 8 24.5% (-1.61)
Over 9 53.86% (+1.64)
Equal 9 11.24% (+0.09)
Under 9 34.9% (-1.71)
Over 10.5 42.72% (+1.43)
Under 10.5 57.28% (-1.43)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 49.92% (-1.13)
Under 1.5 50.08% (+1.13)
Over 2.5 23.5% (-1.43)
Under 2.5 76.5% (+1.43)
Over 3.5 9.22% (-0.77)
Under 3.5 90.78% (+0.77)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 65.77% (+1.00)
Under 0.5 34.23% (-1.00)
Over 1.5 33.88% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 66.12% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 12.8% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 87.2% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 3.93% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 96.07% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Dorking Wanderers 47.6%
Draw 24.26%
AFC Hornchurch 28.2%
Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 10.06% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.61% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.33)
Other @ 9.05% (-0.77)
Total : 47.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.69% (+0.32)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.26%
AFC Hornchurch
1-2 @ 7.04% (+0.21)
0-1 @ 6.14% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.82% (+0.28)
1-3 @ 3.18% (+0.27)
2-3 @ 2.64% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.76% (+0.18)
Total : 28.2%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • goal Matt Briggs 22'
National League South Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Meadowbank Stadium
  • Alfie Rutherford 17' goal
  • Charlie Carter 18' goal
  • Jason Prior 55' goal
  • goal Femi Akinwande 43'