National League South
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Meadowbank Stadium
  • Jason Prior 46' yellowcard
  • Frank Vincent 65' goal
  • Tony Craig 69' yellowcard
  • George Francomb 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henry Hearn 72'
  • yellowcard Darren McQueen 81'
  • yellowcard Charlie Pegrum 81'
  • yellowcard Bobby Kelman 85'

Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Dorking 5 - 3 Farnborough
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Patrick Casey

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch 3 - 2 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.89% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%) , while for a AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Dorking Wanderers 56.88% (+0.36)
Draw 22.89% (-0.20)
AFC Hornchurch 20.23% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.68% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.16% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 20.84% (-0.42)
Over 2.5 57.23% (+0.55)
Under 2.5 42.72% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 34.94% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 65.06% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 20.64% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 79.36% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Dorking Wanderers 41.01% (-1.75)
Draw 37.85% (-0.08)
AFC Hornchurch 21.14% (+1.83)

Team To Score First

Dorking Wanderers 60.59% (-0.62)
No Goal 5.57% (-0.09)
AFC Hornchurch 33.84% (+0.72)

Corners

Over 8 63.95% (-0.60)
Equal 8 10.23% (+0.22)
Under 8 25.82% (+0.40)
Over 9 53.01% (-0.79)
Equal 9 10.93% (+0.18)
Under 9 36.05% (+0.60)
Over 10.5 42.24% (-0.91)
Under 10.5 57.76% (+0.91)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 55.76% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 44.24% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 28.63% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 71.37% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 12.06% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 87.94% (-0.44)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 57.18% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 42.82% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 26.19% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 73.81% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 7.9% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 92.1% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 2.07% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 97.93% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Dorking Wanderers 56.87%
Draw 22.9%
AFC Hornchurch 20.23%
Dorking Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.23)
2-1 @ 9.86% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 5.85% (+0.40)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.15)
Other @ 12.03% (+0.52)
Total : 56.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.28% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.08)
Total : 22.9%
AFC Hornchurch
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.04% (-0.07)
Total : 20.23%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • goal Matt Briggs 22'
National League South Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Meadowbank Stadium
  • Alfie Rutherford 17' goal
  • Charlie Carter 18' goal
  • Jason Prior 55' goal
  • goal Femi Akinwande 43'