Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.89% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%) , while for a AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.