National League South Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch vs Torquay United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Chesham 0 - 0 Hornchurch
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Torquay United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Torquay Utd 0 - 0 Farnborough
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Louis Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Torquay United win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for AFC Hornchurch has a probability of 33.89% and a draw has a probability of 25.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win is 1-0 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.92%).

Result

AFC Hornchurch 33.89% (+0.08)
Draw 25.91%
Torquay United 40.2% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.91%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.1% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.9% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 48.68% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 51.32% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 26.98% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 73.02% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.42% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.58% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 28.97% (+0.02)
Draw 39.04% (+0.02)
Torquay United 31.99% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 41.32%
No Goal 7.68%
Torquay United 51%

Corners

Over 8 58.96%
Equal 8 11.74%
Under 8 29.3% (+0.02)
Over 9 46.87% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.1%
Under 9 41.04%
Over 10.5 35.49% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 64.51% (-0.01)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 33.52% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.48% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.56% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 87.44% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.85% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.15% (-0.04)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5 71.33% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 28.67% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 38.73% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.27% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 15.57% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.43% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.82% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.18% (-0.01)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 33.89%
Draw 25.93%
Torquay United 40.2%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 9.21%
2-1 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 5.64% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.14% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.84% (+0.03)
Total : 33.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.93%
Torquay United
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.85% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.81% (+0.01)
Total : 40.2%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Plainmoor Ground
  • Finley Craske 9' goal
  • Matthew Carson 36' goal
  • goal Angelo Balanta 87'
National League South Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Liam Nash 7' goal
  • George Saunders 60' goal
  • George Saunders 66' yellowcard
  • Mason Terry 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finley Craske 33'
  • goal Cody Cooke 76'
  • yellowcard Dean Moxey 79'