National League South Gameweek 29
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Meadow
  • Karl Oliyide 65' goal
  • goal Josh Rees 7'
  • goal Josh Rees 54'

Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Chesham 4 - 2 Maidstone
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Karl Oliyide

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch 0 - 1 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result

Chesham United 39.93% (-0.04)
Draw 26.87%
AFC Hornchurch 33.2% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.1% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.9% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 51.22% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 48.78% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 28.42% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 71.58% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 15.81% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 84.19% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Chesham United 29.55% (+0.18)
Draw 42.6% (-0.06)
AFC Hornchurch 27.85% (-0.12)

Team To Score First

Chesham United 46.78% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.24% (-0.03)
AFC Hornchurch 45.98%

Corners

Over 8 51.4% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.27% (-0.04)
Under 8 36.33% (+0.13)
Over 9 39.5% (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.9% (-0.04)
Under 9 48.6% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 28.93% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.07% (+0.03)

Chesham United Goals

Over 1.5 40.01% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.99% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.9% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.1% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.86% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.14% (-0.02)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 67.95% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 32.05% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 34.57% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.43% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.37% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 86.63% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.32% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 95.68% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Chesham United 39.93%
Draw 26.87%
AFC Hornchurch 33.19%
Chesham United
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.87% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.58%
Total : 39.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.02)
Total : 26.87%
AFC Hornchurch
0-1 @ 8.29% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 5.09% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 4.04% (+0.05)
Total : 33.19%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Tommy Wood 79' goal
  • Charlie Pegrum 83' goal
  • goal Alex Lafleur 27'
  • redcard Callum Adebiyi 80'
National League South Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Meadow
  • Nathan Minhas 34' goal
  • Lewis Rolfe 39' redcard
  • goal Harry Gibbs 13'
  • goal Ade Yussuff 83'
  • goal Darren McQueen 90'+4'