National League South Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
The Meadow

Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Chesham 0 - 0 Maidenhead
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Karl Oliyide

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Weston 0 - 0 Hornchurch
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesham United win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for AFC Hornchurch has a probability of 33.06% and a draw has a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win is 0-1 (8.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.51%).

Result

Chesham United 41.25% (+1.07)
Draw 25.69% (+0.25)
AFC Hornchurch 33.06% (-1.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.64% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.65% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 26.35% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 49.62% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 50.38% (+0.93)
Over 3.5 26.48% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 73.52% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 14.07% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 85.93% (+0.49)

First Half Winner

Chesham United 30.13% (+0.99)
Draw 43.03% (+0.31)
AFC Hornchurch 26.84% (-1.31)

Team To Score First

Chesham United 49.45% (+2.15)
No Goal 7.33% (+0.13)
AFC Hornchurch 43.22% (-2.28)

Corners

Over 8 53.31% (+0.16)
Equal 8 12.32% (+0.19)
Under 8 34.37% (-0.35)
Over 9 41.19% (-0.11)
Equal 9 12.12% (+0.25)
Under 9 46.69% (-0.16)
Over 10.5 30.3% (-0.36)
Under 10.5 69.7% (+0.36)

Chesham United Goals

Over 1.5 39.03% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 60.97% (-0.39)
Over 2.5 16.17% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 83.83% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 4.84% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 95.16% (-0.08)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 67.31% (-1.00)
Under 0.5 32.69% (+1.00)
Over 1.5 32.84% (-1.41)
Under 1.5 67.16% (+1.41)
Over 2.5 11.91% (-0.94)
Under 2.5 88.09% (+0.94)
Over 3.5 3.61% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 96.39% (+0.46)

Score analysis

Chesham United 41.25%
Draw 25.7%
AFC Hornchurch 33.05%
Chesham United
1-0 @ 10.19% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 8.93% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.73% (+0.31)
3-1 @ 4.2% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.61% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.76% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.83% (+0.08)
Total : 41.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% (+0.41)
0-0 @ 7.33% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.7%
AFC Hornchurch
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.19)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.6% (-0.45)
Total : 33.05%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Tommy Wood 79' goal
  • Charlie Pegrum 83' goal
  • goal Alex Lafleur 27'
  • redcard Callum Adebiyi 80'
National League South Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Meadow
  • Nathan Minhas 34' goal
  • Lewis Rolfe 39' redcard
  • goal Harry Gibbs 13'
  • goal Ade Yussuff 83'
  • goal Darren McQueen 90'+4'