National League South
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • goal Remaye Campbell 24'

AFC Hornchurch vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Bath City 2 - 2 Hornchurch
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 2 - 0 AFC Totton
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Mauro Vilhete

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

AFC Hornchurch 45.39%
Draw 26.51%
Hemel Hempstead Town 28.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.5%
Under 1.5 26.5%
Over 2.5 49.12%
Under 2.5 50.88%
Over 3.5 27.17%
Under 3.5 72.83%
Over 4.5 14.95%
Under 4.5 85.05%

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 34.39%
Draw 42.6%
Hemel Hempstead Town 23.01%

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 52.75%
No Goal 7.6%
Hemel Hempstead Town 39.65%

Corners

Over 8 61.78%
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 26.85%
Over 9 49.8%
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 38.22%
Over 10.5 38.27%
Under 10.5 61.73%

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 42.99% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 57.01% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 18.69%
Under 2.5 81.31%
Over 3.5 6.46%
Under 3.5 93.54%

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.55%
Under 0.5 36.45%
Over 1.5 29.31%
Under 1.5 70.69%
Over 2.5 10.1% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.9% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.95%
Under 3.5 97.05%

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 45.4%
Draw 26.5%
Hemel Hempstead Town 28.05%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 7.73%
3-1 @ 4.49%
3-0 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 6.29%
Total : 45.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 26.5%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 8%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 28.05%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • goal Angelo Balanta 1'
  • goal Angelo Balanta 13'
  • goal Darren McQueen 25'
  • goal Harry Gibbs 51'
National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 10, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Mazeed Ogungbo 8' goal
  • Brandon Barzey 21' goal
  • Oliver Lynch 54' goal
  • goal Henry Hearn 61'
National League South Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Liam Nash 14' goal
  • Will Greenidge 40' yellowcard
  • Giles Phillips 43' yellowcard
  • Mason Terry 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricky German 52'
  • yellowcard Teddy Howe 79'
  • redcard Teddy Howe 85'