National League South Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Torquay Utd 2 - 2 Farnborough
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Rakish Bingham

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 0 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Millar Matthews-Lewis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town has a probability of 31.5% and a draw has a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win is 0-1 (10.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.92%).

Result

Farnborough Town 40.4% (-0.15)
Draw 28.1% (-0.24)
Hemel Hempstead Town 31.5% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.64% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.95% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 31.05% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 43.64% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 56.36% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 23% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 77% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 12.02% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.98% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Farnborough Town 30.68% (+0.08)
Draw 44.76% (-0.08)
Hemel Hempstead Town 24.56%

Team To Score First

Farnborough Town 49.69% (+0.16)
No Goal 9.36% (-0.11)
Hemel Hempstead Town 40.95% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 56.59% (+0.27)
Equal 8 11.22% (-0.06)
Under 8 32.19% (-0.21)
Over 9 45.27% (+0.31)
Equal 9 11.32% (-0.04)
Under 9 43.41% (-0.27)
Over 10.5 34.75% (+0.32)
Under 10.5 65.25% (-0.32)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 1.5 36.35% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 63.65% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 14.08% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 85.92% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 4.5% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 95.5% (+0.07)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.56% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 35.44% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 29.48% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 70.52% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 9.99% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 90.01% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.85% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.15% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Farnborough Town 40.41%
Draw 28.11%
Hemel Hempstead Town 31.51%
Farnborough Town
1-0 @ 11.68% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.11% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.34% (-0.01)
Total : 40.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.36% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.06)
Total : 28.11%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 10.04% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.24% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.26% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.62% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.69% (+0.07)
Total : 31.51%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Paddy Power Park
  • goal 3'
National League South Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 2
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Teddy Howe 17' goal
  • Bayley Brown 25' goal
  • Bayley Brown 32' yellowcard
  • Jordan Esprit 45'+4' goal
  • goal Millar Matthews-Lewis 7'
  • goal Richard Chin 26'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Page 45'+2'
  • goal Richard Chin 49'
National League South Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vauxhall Road (Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire)
  • Kaylen Hinds 76' goal
  • Myles Judd 87' goal
  • goal Courtney Fearn 15'
National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Paddy Power Park
  • Alfie Pavey 25' goal
  • Connor Cullen 76' goal
  • goal Arjanit Krasniqi 45'
National League South Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Paddy Power Park
  • Freddie Grant 51' goal
  • goal Kaylen Hinds 12'
  • goal Bayley Brown 22'