Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.