Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.