National League South Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 7.45pm
Chelmsford City 1 - 0 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Millar Matthews-Lewis

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Tonbridge Angels 2 - 0 Hampton
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Tom Leahy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Tonbridge Angels has a probability of 27.42% and a draw has a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win is 0-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.13%).

Result

Hemel Hempstead Town 46.28% (+0.04)
Draw 26.36% (+0.04)
Tonbridge Angels 27.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.68%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.7%
Under 1.5 28.3%
Over 2.5 47.27% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 52.73% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 25.53% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 74.47% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.96% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 86.04% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Hemel Hempstead Town 32.33%
Draw 43.18%
Tonbridge Angels 24.48%

Team To Score First

Hemel Hempstead Town 51.72% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.05% (+0.03)
Tonbridge Angels 40.23% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.78% (-0.15)
Equal 8 12.15% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.07% (+0.15)
Over 9 42.67% (-0.15)
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 45.22% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 31.65% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 68.35% (+0.13)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 1.5 42.26% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.74% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 18.03% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.27%
Under 3.5 93.73%

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 61.51% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 38.49% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 27.73% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 72.27% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 9.42% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.58% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.52% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.48% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 46.27%
Draw 26.36%
Tonbridge Angels 27.42%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 12.09% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21%
2-0 @ 8.15% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.12% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.13%
Total : 46.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.05% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.36%
Tonbridge Angels
0-1 @ 8.21% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.38% (-0.03)
Total : 27.42%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tom Leahy 27' goal
  • 68' redcard
  • Brody Peart 68' redcard
  • goal Finley Wilkinson 54'
  • goal Millar Matthews-Lewis 58'
  • goal Isiah Noel Williams 82'
National League South Gameweek 36
Mar 1, 2025 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Ben Tompkins 70' goal
  • Millar Matthews-Lewis 79' goal
National League South Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Ryan Hanson 12' yellowcard
  • Mo Dabre 15' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Santos 50' yellowcard
  • Sean Shields 53' goal
  • Scott Wagstaff 64' yellowcard
  • Makise Evans 86' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Oke 11'
  • yellowcard Kombe Kawimbe 25'
  • yellowcard Brandon Barzey 47'
  • yellowcard Kyle Ajayi 62'
National League South Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Josh Hill 46' goal
  • Michael Folivi 56' goal
National League South Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Jordan Greenidge 5' goal
  • Sean Shields 42' goal
  • Jordan Greenidge 79' redcard
  • Lewis Gard 90'+5' goal
  • goal Bayley Brown 12'
  • goal George Williams 20'
  • goal Josh Williams 78'
National League South Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Joe Turner 52' goal
  • goal Josh Castiglione 61'