National League South Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 26, 2026 7.45pm
Chelmsford City 1 - 0 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Alfie Pavey

Maidstone United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Maidstone 3 - 0 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Deon Moore

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Maidstone United win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Tonbridge Angels has a probability of 27.74% and a draw has a probability of 26.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win is 1-0 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.06%).

Result

Tonbridge Angels 27.74% (+0.02)
Draw 26.71% (+0.02)
Maidstone United 45.55% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.28% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.39% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 23.61% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 52.3% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 47.7% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 30.32% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 69.68% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 17.34% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 82.66% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Tonbridge Angels 22.9%
Draw 40.99% (+0.11)
Maidstone United 36.11% (-0.12)

Team To Score First

Tonbridge Angels 37.5% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.94% (+0.03)
Maidstone United 55.56% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.5% (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.69%
Under 8 27.81% (-0.09)
Over 9 50.3% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 38.5% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 39.49% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 60.51% (-0.08)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 1.5 31.18%
Under 1.5 68.82%
Over 2.5 11.33% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.45%
Under 3.5 96.55%

Maidstone United Goals

Over 0.5 76.78% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 23.22% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 45.9% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 54.1% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 20.69% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 79.31% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 7.75% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.25% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Tonbridge Angels 27.74%
Draw 26.7%
Maidstone United 45.56%
Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 7.15% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.83% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.22% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.81% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.1% (-0.01)
Total : 27.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.94% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.35% (+0.01)
Total : 26.7%
Maidstone United
0-1 @ 9.52% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-2 @ 7.81% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.4% (-0.05)
Total : 45.56%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gallagher Stadium
  • Aaron Blair 23' goal
  • goal Ethan Sutcliffe 65'
National League South Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Jamie Fielding 24' yellowcard
  • Liam Vincent 45'+4' goal
  • Trevan Robinson 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Scott Wagstaff 64' yellowcard
  • goal George Fowler 2'
  • yellowcard Jordan Higgs 44'
  • goal Aaron Blair 77'
  • yellowcard Tayt Trusty 90'
  • goal Matthew Bentley 90'+4'
National League South Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Gallagher Stadium
  • Kodi Lyons-Foster 34' goal
  • Sam Corne 41' goal
National League South Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Jordan Higgs 90'+4' goal
  • goal Matt Rush 57'
National League South Gameweek 20
Jan 2, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dominic Odusanya 33' goal
  • Joan Luque 43' goal
  • redcard Doug Loft 83'