National League South Gameweek 29
Jan 26, 2026 7.45pm
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Horsham 0 - 0 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Slough 0 - 0 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Alfie Pavey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 48.39%. A draw has a probability of 26.51% and a win for Tonbridge Angels has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.44%) , while for a Tonbridge Angels win it is 0-1 (8.55%).

Result

Chelmsford City 48.39% (-2.59)
Draw 26.51% (+0.96)
Tonbridge Angels 25.1% (+1.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.94% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.36% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 29.64% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 45.22% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 54.78% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 24.07% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 75.93% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 12.96% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.04% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Chelmsford City 37.22% (-1.06)
Draw 42.97% (+1.22)
Tonbridge Angels 19.81% (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Chelmsford City 53.6% (-1.40)
No Goal 8.59% (+0.35)
Tonbridge Angels 37.81% (+1.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.72% (-1.43)
Equal 8 11.69% (+0.03)
Under 8 32.59% (+1.40)
Over 9 44.01% (-1.32)
Equal 9 11.71% (-0.11)
Under 9 44.28% (+1.43)
Over 10.5 33.24% (-1.11)
Under 10.5 66.76% (+1.11)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 1.5 42.71% (-1.45)
Under 1.5 57.29% (+1.45)
Over 2.5 18.73% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 81.27% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 6.2% (-0.55)
Under 3.5 93.8% (+0.55)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 59.46% (+1.56)
Under 0.5 40.54% (-1.56)
Over 1.5 24.93% (+1.83)
Under 1.5 75.07% (-1.84)
Over 2.5 7.07% (+0.96)
Under 2.5 92.93% (-0.95)
Over 3.5 1.79% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 98.21% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 48.39%
Draw 26.53%
Tonbridge Angels 25.1%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 12.52% (-0.40)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.43)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.73)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.28)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.19% (-0.55)
Total : 48.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.59% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 4.73% (+0.39)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.53%
Tonbridge Angels
0-1 @ 8.55% (+0.44)
1-2 @ 6.33% (+0.33)
0-2 @ 3.92% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 1.34% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.78% (+0.19)
Total : 25.1%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Sean Shields 10' goal
  • Taylor Maloney 76' goal
  • goal Nico Valentine 17'
National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Ruaridh Donaldson 40' yellowcard
  • Jake Hyde 71' goal
  • Bradley Adam Williams 81' yellowcard
  • Ryan Blackman 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Fielding 33'
  • goal Liam Vincent 38'
  • yellowcard Nazir Bakrin 49'
  • yellowcard Mo Dabre 84'
National League South Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Jermaine Francis 53' goal
  • Charlie Ruff 89' goal
  • Jermaine Francis 90'+2' goal
National League South Gameweek 16
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Scott Wagstaff 7'+7' goal
  • Swift B. 14'+14' redcard
  • goal Luke Jenkins 32'
National League South Gameweek 34
Feb 20, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Liam Trotter 90'+6' goal