National League South Gameweek 33
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Hornchurch 0 - 0 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Tonbridge Angels 0 - 1 Maidenhead
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Alfie Pavey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Tonbridge Angels has a probability of 25.54% and a draw has a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win is 0-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.12%).

Result

AFC Hornchurch 49.03% (-1.23)
Draw 25.43% (+0.27)
Tonbridge Angels 25.54% (+0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.12% (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.05% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 28.95% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 45.45% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 54.55% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 23.79% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 76.21% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 13.08% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 86.92% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 38.99% (-1.38)
Draw 39.01% (-0.04)
Tonbridge Angels 22% (+1.41)

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 55% (-0.71)
No Goal 8.52% (-0.12)
Tonbridge Angels 36.48% (+0.81)

Corners

Over 8 60.35% (+0.60)
Equal 8 11.4% (-0.11)
Under 8 28.25% (-0.47)
Over 9 48.49% (+0.67)
Equal 9 11.86% (-0.08)
Under 9 39.65% (-0.60)
Over 10.5 37.19% (+0.66)
Under 10.5 62.81% (-0.66)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 43.11% (-0.89)
Under 1.5 56.89% (+0.89)
Over 2.5 18.6% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 81.4% (+0.72)
Over 3.5 6.8% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 93.2% (+0.36)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 58.43% (+1.08)
Under 0.5 41.57% (-1.08)
Over 1.5 24.52% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 75.48% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 7.41% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 92.59% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 1.88% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 98.12% (-0.15)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 49.02%
Draw 25.43%
Tonbridge Angels 25.55%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 12.24% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.29)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.09)
Other @ 6.79% (-0.35)
Total : 49.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 8.52% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.28% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.43%
Tonbridge Angels
0-1 @ 8.19% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.33% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 4.13% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 2.18% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.31% (+0.10)
Other @ 1.87% (+0.16)
Total : 25.55%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Longmead Stadium
  • goal Darren McQueen 16'
National League South Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Will Greenidge 45'+4' goal
  • Angelo Balanta 83' goal
  • goal Gianluca Zanre Botti 43'
  • goal Mason Terry 45'+2' (OG)