National League South Gameweek 28
Weston
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Woodspring Stadium
Hornchurch

Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 0 - 0 Weston
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Louis Britton

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Dorking 0 - 0 Hornchurch
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for AFC Hornchurch has a probability of 27.97% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win is 0-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).

Result

Weston-super-Mare 46.18% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 25.9% ▼ (-0.04)
AFC Hornchurch 27.97% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.22% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.95% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 28.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 47.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 52.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 24.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 75.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 13.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.95% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Weston-super-Mare 33.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 43.07% ▼ (-0.08)
AFC Hornchurch 22.98% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Weston-super-Mare 51.94% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 8.45% ▼ (-0.02)
AFC Hornchurch 39.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 35.69% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 41.46% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 47.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 31.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.75% ▲ (+0.05)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 1.5 41.44% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 58.56% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 17.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.16% ▼ (-0.03)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 61.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 38.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.57% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Weston-super-Mare 46.17%
Draw 25.91%
AFC Hornchurch 27.98%
Weston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 46.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.91%
AFC Hornchurch
0-1 @ 8.08%
1-2 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.98%

Head to Head

National League South
Hornchurch
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Weston
National League South Gameweek 41
Hornchurch
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT Hornchurch Stadium
Weston
  • Darren McQueen 53' goal
  • Angelo Balanta 88' goal
  • goal Luke Coulson 15'
  • goal Reuben Reid 33'
  • goal Luke Coulson 60'
  • goal Luke Coulson 90'+6'
National League South Gameweek 6
Weston
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Woodspring Stadium
Hornchurch
  • Dylan Morgan 5' goal
  • Jazzi Barnum-Bobb 14' goal
  • Brandon Edward Bak 37' goal
  • Dylan Kadji 82' yellowcard
  • Nick McCootie 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Wraight 21'
  • goal Liam Nash 35'
  • goal Sean Scannell 71'
  • yellowcard Charlee Adams 81'
  • yellowcard Liam Nash 88'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Harvest 90'+8'

Form Data

Chelmsford City 0 - 0 Weston
Grimsby Town 3 - 2 Weston
Weston 0 - 0 Farnborough
Weston 1 - 0 Salisbury
Torquay Utd 3 - 1 Weston
Weston 1 - 0 Chippenham
Hornchurch 1 - 2 Telford
Dorking 0 - 0 Hornchurch
Hornchurch 0 - 0 Eastbourne
Hornchurch 0 - 0 Salisbury
Hornchurch 1 - 2 Maidstone
Dag & Red 2 - 3 Hornchurch