Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.