Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.99% and a win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%) , while for a Weston-super-Mare win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.