Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.