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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 34.99% | 25.52% | 39.49% |
| Both teams to score 55.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.81% | 48.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% | 70.34% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% | 26.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% | 61.8% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% | 24.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% | 58.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.49% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.52% 3-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.99% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.49% |