Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.