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MK Dons
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Notts County
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two
Dec 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
MK Dons

3-2

Dennis (8'), Jatta (26'), Iorpenda (88')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Mendez-Laing (3', 13' pen.)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-2 Notts County
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Notts County vs. Walsall
Saturday, December 20 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Cambridge
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Harrogate vs. MK Dons
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
47.76%24.19%28.06%
Both teams to score 57.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.01%44.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66%67.34%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05%18.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.52%50.48%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47%29.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45%65.55%
Score Analysis
    Notts County 47.76%
    MK Dons 28.06%
    Draw 24.18%
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 7.74%
3-1 @ 5.24%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-1 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.16%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 28.06%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 40
Notts County
3-0
MK Dons
McGoldrick (47'), Tsaroulla (54'), Jarvis (74')
Palmer (52'), Edwards (87')

Thompson-Sommers (34'), Gilbey (81')
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
gameweek 22
MK Dons
0-2
Notts County

Kelly (9'), White (18')
Abbott (57'), Crowley (71')
Maynard (10'), Austin (39'), Palmer (82'), Bass (87')
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
gameweek 42
Notts County
3-3
MK Dons
Austin (45+4'), Jatta (48'), Nemane (90+1')
Langstaff (58'), Robertson (90+6')
Dean (19'), Harrison (64', 83')
Norman (39'), Bate (39'), Harvie (90+7')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
gameweek 7
MK Dons
1-1
Notts County
Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
Cameron (66')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
gameweek 43
Notts County
1-2
MK Dons
Wheeler (62'), Aneke (85')