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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | MK Dons |
| 47.76% | 24.19% | 28.06% |
| Both teams to score 57.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.01% | 44.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% | 67.34% |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% | 18.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.52% | 50.48% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% | 29.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.45% | 65.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.26% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-1 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.06% |