Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (10%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.