Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.