National League South Gameweek 37
Hornchurch
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Hornchurch Stadium
Slough
  • Henry Hearn 54' goal
  • Darren McQueen 79' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Shakpoke 13'
  • goal Wiktor Makowski 45'+3'
  • goal Jaiden Drakes-Thomas 90'

AFC Hornchurch vs Slough Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Hornchurch 1 - 0 Salisbury
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Slough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Bath City 0 - 1 Slough
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Wiktor Makowski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.88% and a win for Slough Town had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%) , while for a Slough Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

AFC Hornchurch 51.53% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 24.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Slough Town 23.54% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.96% ▼ (-0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.36% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 23.64% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 52.75% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 47.25% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 30.46% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 69.54% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 17.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 82.45% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 37.91% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 40.62% ▼ (-0.18)
Slough Town 21.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 57.62% ▼ (-0.24)
No Goal 6.49% ▲ (+0.07)
Slough Town 35.89% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 63.59% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 8 10.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 25.85% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 9 52.33% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.26% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 36.41% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 10.5 41.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 58.7% ▼ (-0.01)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 49.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 50.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 23.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 76.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.93% ▼ (-0.01)

Slough Town Goals

Over 0.5 60.24% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 39.76% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 26.97% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 73.03% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 2.5 9.13% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 90.87% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 2.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.45% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 51.54%
Draw 24.87%
Slough Town 23.53%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 10.77% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.95% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02%
Other @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 51.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
Slough Town
0-1 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 23.53%

Head to Head

National League South
Slough
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
2
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Hornchurch
National League South Gameweek 39
Hornchurch
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Hornchurch Stadium
Slough
  • Charlee Adams 41' goal
  • Darren McQueen 45'+3' goal
  • goal David Ogbonna 45'
  • goal Jeanmal Prosper 73'
  • goal Slavi Spasov 76'
National League South Gameweek 4
Slough
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arbour Park
Hornchurch
  • Josh Jackman 36' yellowcard
  • Daniel Bayliss 44' yellowcard
  • Scott Davies 69' goal
  • Daniel Bayliss 77' goal
  • yellowcard Jazzi Barnum-Bobb 20'
  • goal Tom Wraight 51'
  • yellowcard Ryan Scott 68'
  • yellowcard Nathan Green 75'

Form Data

Hornchurch 1 - 0 Salisbury
Hornchurch 2 - 1 Worthing
Dover Athletic 4 - 1 Hornchurch
AFC Totton 1 - 0 Hornchurch
Dorking 1 - 0 Hornchurch
Hornchurch 3 - 2 Tonbridge Angels
Bath City 0 - 1 Slough
Slough 1 - 1 Dover Athletic
AFC Totton 1 - 1 Slough
Worthing 4 - 1 Slough
Slough 0 - 0 Horsham
Slough 1 - 0 Weston