National League South Gameweek 25
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
Hornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch 0 - 0 Torquay Utd
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Salisbury

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Dorking 0 - 0 Salisbury
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Noah Coppin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Salisbury has a probability of 24.48% and a draw has a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest Salisbury win is 0-1 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.57%).

Result

AFC Hornchurch 51.74% (+1.25)
Draw 23.78% (-0.77)
Salisbury 24.48% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.54% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.86% (+1.21)
Under 1.5 25.14% (-1.22)
Over 2.5 51.73% (+1.79)
Under 2.5 48.27% (-1.79)
Over 3.5 29.91% (+2.20)
Under 3.5 70.04% (-2.24)
Over 4.5 17.46% (+1.65)
Under 4.5 82.54% (-1.65)

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 39.23% (+0.18)
Draw 39.16% (+0.24)
Salisbury 21.61% (-0.43)

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 56.31% (+2.81)
No Goal 6.73% (-0.42)
Salisbury 36.96% (-2.39)

Corners

Over 8 63.57% (-1.87)
Equal 8 10.92% (+0.29)
Under 8 25.51% (+1.59)
Over 9 51.92% (-2.00)
Equal 9 11.65% (+0.14)
Under 9 36.43% (+1.87)
Over 10.5 40.54% (-1.96)
Under 10.5 59.46% (+1.96)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 48.95% (+2.09)
Under 1.5 51.05% (-2.09)
Over 2.5 23.15% (+1.56)
Under 2.5 76.85% (-1.57)
Over 3.5 9.17% (+0.87)
Under 3.5 90.83% (-0.88)

Salisbury Goals

Over 0.5 59.09% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 40.91% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 26.75% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 73.25% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 8.8% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 91.2% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 2.37% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 97.63% (-0.24)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 51.75%
Draw 23.78%
Salisbury 24.47%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 11.19% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 9.58% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.06% (+0.20)
3-1 @ 4.97% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 4.88% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.02% (+0.25)
Other @ 9.05% (+0.82)
Total : 51.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.62)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 5.25% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.12% (+0.06)
Total : 23.78%
Salisbury
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.44)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.37)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.23% (+0.26)
2-3 @ 1.91% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.19)
Other @ 2.25% (+0.17)
Total : 24.47%

Head to Head

National League South
Aug 25, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Ryan Scott 28' redcard
  • Darren McQueen 79' goal
  • goal Callum James Watts 43'
National League South Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Raymond McEnhill Stadium
  • Josh Hedges 21' goal
  • Aaron McCreadie 39' yellowcard
  • Thomas Leggett 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Luke Wilkinson 73' yellowcard
  • Craig Fasanmade 82' goal
  • Aidan Elliott-Wheeler 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal George Saunders 40'
  • yellowcard Giles Phillips 52'
  • goal Scott Kashket 90'+6'