National League South Gameweek 25
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Giles Phillips 53' goal

AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch 2 - 1 Worthing
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Salisbury

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Salisbury 0 - 1 Maidstone
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Noah Coppin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.12% and a win for Salisbury had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.18%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%) , while for a Salisbury win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

AFC Hornchurch 54.54% (-2.53)
Draw 24.12% (+0.95)
Salisbury 21.34% (+1.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.01% (-0.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.07% (-0.73)
Under 1.5 23.93% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 52.58% (-1.04)
Under 2.5 47.42% (+1.04)
Over 3.5 30.41% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 69.59% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 17.75% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 82.25% (+0.54)

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 38.45% (-1.62)
Draw 40.5% (+0.61)
Salisbury 21.05% (+1.02)

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 58.12% (-1.27)
No Goal 6.32% (+0.37)
Salisbury 35.56% (+0.91)

Corners

Over 8 64.06% (-0.32)
Equal 8 10.7% (+0.03)
Under 8 25.24% (+0.29)
Over 9 52.6% (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 35.94% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 41.34% (-0.30)
Under 10.5 58.66% (+0.30)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 51.42% (-2.47)
Under 1.5 48.58% (+2.47)
Over 2.5 25.03% (-1.79)
Under 2.5 74.97% (+1.79)
Over 3.5 9.92% (-1.14)
Under 3.5 90.08% (+1.13)

Salisbury Goals

Over 0.5 57.98% (+2.24)
Under 0.5 42.02% (-2.24)
Over 1.5 24.63% (+1.15)
Under 1.5 75.37% (-1.15)
Over 2.5 7.83% (+0.99)
Under 2.5 92.17% (-0.99)
Over 3.5 2.09% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 97.91% (-0.50)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 54.54%
Draw 24.13%
Salisbury 21.33%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 11.37% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.18% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.77)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.60)
3-2 @ 3.03% (+0.06)
Other @ 9.75% (-1.19)
Total : 54.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% (+0.72)
0-0 @ 6.32% (+0.37)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.07)
Total : 24.13%
Salisbury
0-1 @ 6.24% (+0.42)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 2.93% (+0.37)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.32)
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.18)
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.92% (+0.43)
Total : 21.33%

Head to Head

National League South
Aug 25, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Ryan Scott 28' redcard
  • Darren McQueen 79' goal
  • goal Callum James Watts 43'
National League South Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Raymond McEnhill Stadium
  • Josh Hedges 21' goal
  • Aaron McCreadie 39' yellowcard
  • Thomas Leggett 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Luke Wilkinson 73' yellowcard
  • Craig Fasanmade 82' goal
  • Aidan Elliott-Wheeler 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal George Saunders 40'
  • yellowcard Giles Phillips 52'
  • goal Scott Kashket 90'+6'