National League South | Gameweek 25
Jan 3, 2026 at 3pm UK
 

vs.

Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Salisbury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hornchurch 1-2 Maidstone
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-0 Salisbury
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Salisbury has a probability of 26.21% and a draw has a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Salisbury win is 0-1 (8.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.38%).

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawSalisbury
47.69% (-3.262 -3.26)26.1% (0.612 0.61)26.21% (2.651 2.65)
Both teams to score 49.61% (0.715 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (-0.312 -0.31)54.15% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-0.261 -0.26)75.56% (0.261 0.26)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (-1.558 -1.56)22.71% (1.559 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (-2.366 -2.37)56.38% (2.366 2.37)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18% (2.176 2.18)35.82% (-2.174 -2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41% (2.168 2.17)72.59% (-2.167 -2.17)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 47.68%
    Salisbury 26.21%
    Draw 26.1%
AFC HornchurchDrawSalisbury
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.759 -0.76)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.605 -0.61)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.207 -0.21)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.314 -0.31)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.575 0.58)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.509 0.51)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.524 0.52)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.289 0.29)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.147 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.253 0.25)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 26.21%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2025 3pm
Feb 1, 2025 3pm
gameweek 30
Hornchurch
1-1
Salisbury
McQueen (79')
Scott (28')
James Watts (43')
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
gameweek 11
Salisbury
2-2
Hornchurch
Hedges (21'), Fasanmade (82')
McCreadie (39'), Leggett (45+1'), Wilkinson (73'), Elliott-Wheeler (90+5')
Saunders (40'), Kashket (90+6')
Phillips (52')