National League South
Gameweek
38
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT :
0
1
FT
The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
-
Henry Sandat
5'
-
Dominic Poleon
65'
Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result
Horsham
38.39%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
26.24%
▼
(-0.02)
AFC Hornchurch
35.36%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
56.36%
Goals
Over 1.5
76.24%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
23.76%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
52.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
47.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
30.35%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
69.65%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
16.86%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
83.14%
▲
(+0.04)
First Half Winner
Horsham
28.78%
Draw
41.48%
AFC Hornchurch
29.74%
Team To Score First
Horsham
45.08%
▲
(+0.02)
No Goal
6.48%
AFC Hornchurch
48.44%
▼
(-0.03)
Corners
Over 8
58.72%
▲
(+0.18)
Equal 8
10.95%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
30.34%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 9
47.48%
▲
(+0.16)
Equal 9
11.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
41.28%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 10.5
36.86%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 10.5
63.14%
▼
(-0.14)
Horsham Goals
Over 1.5
39.52%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
60.48%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
16.5%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
83.5%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
5.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
94.51%
▲
(+0.03)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5
70.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
29.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
37.08%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
62.92%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
14.73%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
85.27%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
5.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
94.99%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Horsham
38.38%
Draw
26.24%
AFC Hornchurch
35.36%
Horsham
1-0
@
8.82%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 38.38%
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 38.38%
Draw
1-1
@
12.34%
0-0 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 5.9%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 26.24%
0-0 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 5.9%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 26.24%
AFC Hornchurch
0-1
@
8.44%
1-2 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.42%
1-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.36%
1-2 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.42%
1-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.36%
Head to Head
National League South