National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)

Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Horsham 1 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
James Hammond

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Hornchurch 1 - 0 Salisbury
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Horsham win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for AFC Hornchurch has a probability of 35.41% and a draw has a probability of 26.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win is 0-1 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.3%).

Result

Horsham 38.35%
Draw 26.25%
AFC Hornchurch 35.41%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.28%
Under 1.5 23.72%
Over 2.5 52.54%
Under 2.5 47.46%
Over 3.5 30.4%
Under 3.5 69.61%
Over 4.5 16.9%
Under 4.5 83.1%

First Half Winner

Horsham 28.78%
Draw 41.48%
AFC Hornchurch 29.74%

Team To Score First

Horsham 45.06%
No Goal 6.48%
AFC Hornchurch 48.46%

Corners

Over 8 58.74%
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 30.31%
Over 9 47.51%
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 41.26%
Over 10.5 36.89%
Under 10.5 63.11%

Horsham Goals

Over 1.5 39.56%
Under 1.5 60.44%
Over 2.5 16.52%
Under 2.5 83.48%
Over 3.5 5.49%
Under 3.5 94.51%

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 70.56%
Under 0.5 29.44%
Over 1.5 37.18%
Under 1.5 62.82%
Over 2.5 14.8%
Under 2.5 85.2%
Over 3.5 5.03%
Under 3.5 94.97%

Score analysis

Horsham 38.34%
Draw 26.25%
AFC Hornchurch 35.41%
Horsham
1-0 @ 8.8%
2-1 @ 8.55%
2-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.74%
Other @ 5.26%
Total : 38.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 5.92%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 26.25%
AFC Hornchurch
0-1 @ 8.44%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 2.42%
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 35.41%

Head to Head

National League South
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT