National League South Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
  • Rhys Murphy 4' goal
  • goal Dominic Samuel 53'

Horsham vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Horsham 2 - 0 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
James Hammond

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Chesham 4 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Horsham 41.83% (+0.36)
Draw 26.34% (-0.04)
Ebbsfleet 31.83% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.39% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.48% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.52% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.21% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 49.79% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.16% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 72.84% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 14.64% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.36% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Horsham 33.71% (+0.33)
Draw 41.1% (+0.03)
Ebbsfleet 25.19% (-0.36)

Team To Score First

Horsham 49.48% (+0.67)
No Goal 7.05% (-0.01)
Ebbsfleet 43.47% (-0.67)

Corners

Over 8 60.96% (+0.43)
Equal 8 11.25% (-0.06)
Under 8 27.79% (-0.39)
Over 9 49.2% (+0.45)
Equal 9 11.76% (-0.01)
Under 9 39.04% (-0.43)
Over 10.5 37.94% (+0.41)
Under 10.5 62.06% (-0.41)

Horsham Goals

Over 1.5 40.59% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 59.41% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 17.02% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 82.98% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 5.45% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.55% (-0.13)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 67.13% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 32.87% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 32.52% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 67.48% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 11.9% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 88.1% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 3.47% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 96.53% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Horsham 41.83%
Draw 26.33%
Ebbsfleet 31.83%
Horsham
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.25% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.81% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.16% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.7% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.36% (+0.15)
Total : 41.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.03)
Total : 26.33%
Ebbsfleet
0-1 @ 8.52% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.78% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.38% (-0.07)
Total : 31.83%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dominic Samuel 90'+2' goal
  • goal Lucas Rodrigues 26'
  • goal Lucas Rodrigues 72'