Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.