National League South | Gameweek 25
Jan 3, 2026 at 3pm UK
 
Ebbsfleet United

vs.

Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 0-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bath City win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Ebbsfleet has a probability of 35.95% and a draw has a probability of 26.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win is 0-1 (9.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.75%).

Result
Bath CityDrawEbbsfleet
37.21% (-6.614 -6.61)26.84% (-0.247 -0.25)35.95% (6.856 6.86)
Both teams to score 51.43% (2.75 2.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.29% (2.571 2.57)53.71% (-2.575 -2.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8% (2.122 2.12)75.2% (-2.126 -2.13)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-2.402 -2.4)27.9% (2.398 2.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-3.172 -3.17)63.52% (3.168 3.17)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (5.989 5.99)28.66% (-5.993 -5.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (6.898 6.9)64.47% (-6.903 -6.9)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 37.21%
    Ebbsfleet 35.95%
    Draw 26.83%
Bath CityDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 10.2% (-1.87 -1.87)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.602 -0.6)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-1.735 -1.74)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.518 -0.52)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.985 -0.99)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 37.21%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.841 -0.84)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.454 0.45)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.628 0.63)
1-2 @ 7.97% (1.189 1.19)
0-2 @ 6.25% (1.281 1.28)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.925 0.93)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.847 0.85)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.482 0.48)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.402 0.4)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.95%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2025 3pm
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
gameweek 32
Bath City
1-3
Ebbsfleet
Cox (42')
Poleon (17', 44'), Bingham (45+2')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 7
Ebbsfleet
3-1
Bath City
Poleon (7', 62'), McQueen (85')
Hayfield (73')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 30
Bath City
0-2
Ebbsfleet
Chapman (2'), Poleon (52')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
gameweek 12
Ebbsfleet
3-0
Bath City
Romain (45', 49'), Poleon (46')