National League South
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Twerton Park Stadium
  • Matthew Bowman 2' goal
  • Matthew Bowman 3' goal
  • Moses Alexander-Walker 10' yellowcard
  • Jordan Alves 67' yellowcard
  • Jack Batten 67' yellowcard
  • Alex Fisher 73' yellowcard
  • Mitch Beardmore 87' yellowcard
  • Matthew Bowman 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Joshua Passley 18'
  • goal Tom Dallison 26'
  • goal Tom Dallison 27'
  • yellowcard Josh Coley 64'
  • yellowcard Dominic Samuel 79'

Bath City vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bath City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Dag & Red 1 - 0 Bath City
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Matthew Bowman

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 4 - 0 AFC Totton
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Bath City 29.07% (-0.38)
Draw 27.7% (+0.99)
Ebbsfleet 43.17% (-0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.61% (+0.52)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.23% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 30.77% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 44.15% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 55.85% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 22.53% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 77.47% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 11.72% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 88.28% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Bath City 25% (+1.25)
Draw 44.34% (+2.17)
Ebbsfleet 30.66% (-3.41)

Team To Score First

Bath City 39.66% (-0.66)
No Goal 9.36% (+0.58)
Ebbsfleet 50.98% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 55.62% (+2.68)
Equal 8 12.11%
Under 8 32.26% (-2.68)
Over 9 43.48% (+2.42)
Equal 9 12.15% (+0.26)
Under 9 44.38% (-2.68)
Over 10.5 32.34% (+1.99)
Under 10.5 67.66% (-1.99)

Bath City Goals

Over 1.5 27.48% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 72.52% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 9.28% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 90.72% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 2.36% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.64% (+0.07)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 72.5% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 27.5% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 38.15% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 61.85% (+0.53)
Over 2.5 15.15%
Under 2.5 84.85%
Over 3.5 4.84% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 95.16% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Bath City 29.08%
Draw 27.71%
Ebbsfleet 43.17%
Bath City
1-0 @ 9.09% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 6.78% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.32% (-0.10)
Total : 29.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.36% (+0.58)
2-2 @ 4.65% (+0.21)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.03)
Total : 27.71%
Ebbsfleet
0-1 @ 12.28% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.33)
0-3 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.8% (+0.09)
Total : 43.17%

Head to Head

National League South
Aug 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT Twerton Park Stadium
  • Sonny Cox 42' goal
  • goal Dominic Poleon 17'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 44'
  • goal Rakish Bingham 45'+2'
National League South Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Dominic Poleon 7' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 62' goal
  • Darren McQueen 85' goal
  • goal Dan Hayfield 73'
National League South Gameweek 30
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Ben Chapman 2'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 52'
National League South Gameweek 12
Dec 18, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Elliott Romain 45' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 46' goal
  • Elliott Romain 49' goal
National League South Gameweek 37
Apr 30, 2021 11.00pm