Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.49% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%) , while for a Bath City win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.