Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 1-0 (9.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.