Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 1-0 (8.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.