Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.17% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%) , while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.