National League
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 17' goal
  • Harry Boyes 63' yellowcard
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jayden Harris 76'
  • yellowcard Hayden Muller 81'
  • yellowcard Lewis Simper 84'

Southend United vs Sutton United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Braintree 0 - 1 Southend
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Gus Scott-Morriss

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Sutton 0 - 0 Aldershot
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jayden Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.17% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%) , while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Southend United 66.4% (-0.03)
Draw 19.17% (+0.01)
Sutton United 14.43% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.85% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.56% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 40.44% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 37.18% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 62.82% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 19.92% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.08% (+0.01)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5 88.68% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 11.32% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 64.01% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 35.99% (+0.03)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 59.6% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 40.4% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 22.99% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.01% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Southend United 66.4%
Draw 19.17%
Sutton United 14.43%
Southend United
2-0 @ 10.85%
1-0 @ 9.96% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.84% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.88% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.24%
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 66.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.03% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.57% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 19.17%
Sutton United
0-1 @ 4.15% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 14.43%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Lewis Simper 90' yellowcard
  • Ashley Nadesan 90'+5' goal
  • goal Ben Goodliffe 33'
  • yellowcard Keenan Appiah-Forson 46'
  • yellowcard Cavanagh Miley 85'
National League Gameweek 9
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 11' goal
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 39' yellowcard
  • Noor Husin 90' yellowcard
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Ransom 14'
  • yellowcard Josh Coley 27'
  • goal Josh Coley 45'+5'
  • goal Lewis Simper 50' (OG)
  • yellowcard Tyler French 56'
  • goal Ashley Nadesan 75'
  • yellowcard Jayden Harris 86'
  • yellowcard Charlie Waller 90'