National League South Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet vs Maidenhead United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Maidstone 3 - 0 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Maidenhead United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Maidenhead 0 - 0 AFC Totton
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Josh Umerah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Ebbsfleet has a probability of 31.61% and a draw has a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win is 1-0 (9.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).

Result

Ebbsfleet 31.61% (+0.08)
Draw 26.36% (-0.04)
Maidenhead United 42.02% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.51% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 30.49% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 43.64% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 56.36% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 22.72% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 77.28% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.01% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.99% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Ebbsfleet 25.29% (-0.02)
Draw 40.93% (+0.04)
Maidenhead United 33.78% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Ebbsfleet 43.7% (-0.06)
No Goal 8.93% (-0.01)
Maidenhead United 47.37% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 56.66% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.5%
Under 8 31.84% (-0.02)
Over 9 45.04% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 43.34% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 34.27% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 65.73% (-0.01)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 1.5 28.76% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 71.24% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.72% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 90.28% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.65% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.35% (-0.03)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5 71.1% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 28.9% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 37.02% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 62.98% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 14.41% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.59% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.92% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.08% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 31.62%
Draw 26.37%
Maidenhead United 42.02%
Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 9.77% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.64% (+0.03)
Total : 31.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.93% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.37%
Maidenhead United
0-1 @ 11.8%
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.79% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 3.14% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 4.91% (-0.01)
Total : 42.02%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 15
Jan 6, 2026 7.45pm
National League Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • goal Shawn McCoulsky 50'
  • goal Brendan Kiernan 59'
National League Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT York Road
  • Tristan Abrahams 40' goal
  • Shawn McCoulsky 56' goal
  • Miles Welch-Hayes 88' yellowcard
  • Craig Ross 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Sam Barratt 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Tanner 47'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Olagunju 69'
  • yellowcard Tom Dallison 83'
  • goal Josh Wright 90'+2'
National League Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT York Road Stadium
  • Alan Massey 43' yellowcard
  • Zico Asare 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Tanner 33'
  • yellowcard Declan Skura 50'
  • goal Dominic Samuel 82'
National League Gameweek 21
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Dominic Poleon 60' goal
  • yellowcard James Golding 17'
  • goal 18'
  • yellowcard Will De Havilland 45'+3'
  • goal Reece Smith 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Beckwith 88'
National League Gameweek 42
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT York Road
  • Jaydn Mundle-Smith 9' goal
  • Josh Kelly 43' yellowcard
  • Danny Whitehall 57' yellowcard
  • 58' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Umerah 17'
  • goal Gozie Ugwu 30'
  • goal Gozie Ugwu 31'
  • yellowcard Jermaine McGlashan 85'