National League South Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
The Meadow

Chesham United vs Maidenhead United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Hampton 0 - 1 Chesham
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Karl Oliyide

Maidenhead United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Maidenhead 0 - 0 Enfield Town
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Josh Umerah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesham United win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Maidenhead United has a probability of 36.09% and a draw has a probability of 26.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win is 0-1 (9.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.93%).

Result

Chesham United 37.19% (+0.11)
Draw 26.71% (-0.03)
Maidenhead United 36.09% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.45% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.55% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 45.92% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 54.08% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 23.77% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.23% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.64% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.36% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Chesham United 27.69% (-0.01)
Draw 41.23% (+0.05)
Maidenhead United 31.08% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Chesham United 43.99% (+0.11)
No Goal 8.5%
Maidenhead United 47.51% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 54.92% (+0.14)
Equal 8 12.17% (+0.02)
Under 8 32.91% (-0.16)
Over 9 42.81% (+0.11)
Equal 9 12.12% (+0.04)
Under 9 45.08% (-0.14)
Over 10.5 31.78% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 68.22% (-0.07)

Chesham United Goals

Over 1.5 34% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.19% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.81% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.73% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.27% (-0.04)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5 68.59% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 31.41% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 33.92% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 66.08% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12.3% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 87.7% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.09% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.91% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chesham United 37.19%
Draw 26.72%
Maidenhead United 36.1%
Chesham United
1-0 @ 10.12% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.22% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.41% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.72% (+0.04)
Total : 37.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.5%
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.72%
Maidenhead United
0-1 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 4.08% (-0.02)
Total : 36.1%

Head to Head

National League South
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT